Friday, June 15, 2012

Carlotta Becomes a Hurricane!

Although the center of Carlotta has moved onto slightly cooler waters,  she has become stronger. She is now a Category 1. Currently, Hurricane Carlotta has maximum sustained winds of 74 Kts. Minimum pressure as of 11 AM PDT is 979 mb. Satellite imagery shows that the central dense overcast has become more organized and that an eye has been formed. These are sure signs that the hurricane has become stronger. 

Carlotta over waters at around 31C
Eye wall formation seen through the GOES visible imagery


Carlotta is undergoing rapid intensification just as she's nearing the coast. Although the forecast keeps her offshore, the possibility of the mountains deteriorating conditions is possible. The models generally agree that Carlotta will be looping back around. After Saturday, however Carlotta is expected to become a tropical storm. 
A defined eye and cirrus outflow can be seen in this GEO image. 

Model Tracks generally agree on looping around over the Mexican Coast

Hurricanes Warnings are in effect from Punt Maldonado to Acapulco. Watches are in effect from Salina Cruz to Barra de Tonelada and West of Acapulco to Tecpan de Galeana.


Although the possibility of complete dissipation is possible if the storm passes over the mountains, hazards that are probably include mudslides and flash flooding!

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